Very often we are uncertain about what we ought, morally, to do. How should we make decisions in the face of such uncertainty? Moral Uncertainty, new book by William MacAskill, Toby Ord & Krister Bykvist, tackles this question. https://tinyurl.com/y5vebafq Decision-making in the face of fundamental moral uncertainty is underexplored terrain: William MacAskill, Krister Bykvist, and […]

Over the long run, technology has improved the human condition. Nevertheless, the economic progress from technological innovation has not arrived equitably or smoothly. While innovation often produces great wealth, it has also often been disruptive to labor, society, and world order. In light of ongoing advances in artificial intelligence (“AI”), we should prepare for the […]

Scientific and technological progress might change people’s capabilities or incentives in ways that would destabilize civilization. This paper introduces the concept of a vulnerable world: roughly, one in which there is some level of technological development at which civilization almost certainly gets devastated by default, i.e. unless it has exited the “semi-anarchic default condition”.

Jan Brauner (DPhil Scholar) and Mrinank Sharma (DPhil Affiliate) published Inferring the effectiveness of government interventions against COVID-19 in Science. The paper currently has the 7th highest attention score (measured by Altmetric) of all Science publications.

The UN’s latest Human Development Report features a 7-page piece by Toby Ord on existential risk and the protection of humanity’s longterm potential. Toby said of the piece: I’ve long admired the HDR, and referred to it often when I worked on global poverty. So it’s great to be able to give something back, and […]