The errors, insights and lessons of famous AI predictions and what they mean for the future. (Armstrong, S., Sotala, K., & Ó hÉigeartaigh, S. S. 2014. Journal of Experimental & Theoretical Artificial Intelligence, 26(3), 317-342)

http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/0952813X.2014.895105