Update: This paper has now been published.
Carla Zoe Cremer (FHI Research Scholar) and Jess Whittlestone (Leverhulme CFI Senior Research Fellow) won the Best Paper Award at the 1st International Workshop on Evaluating Progress in Artificial Intelligence – EPAI 2020. The workshop was part of the 24th European Conference on Artificial Intelligence – ECAI 2020 Santiago de Compostela, Spain.
Their paper, Canaries in Technology Mines: Warning Signs of Transformative Progress in AI, introduces a methodology for identifying early warning signs of transformative progress in AI, to aid anticipatory governance and research prioritisation. The paper concludes by discussing the limitations of this method, possible future improvements, and how the authors hope it can be used to improve monitoring of future risks from AI progress.